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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (4) 797

January 18 - 24, 2010

Main tendencies of political week

A meeting of the State Council devoted to issues of the political system improvement was the central domestic policy event last week. In his speech Dmitry Medvedev spoke in favor of retaining the system’s fundamentals. He declared that Russia’s political system was not good in all aspects but it coped with its objectives. The head of state also pointed out it was groundless to accuse the Russian election system. For instance, following results of the autumn elections the opposition claimed there had been thousands of violations but contested just several dozen episodes in courts with not all suits having chances to be satisfied. According to the president, such accusations with no evidence provided are a kind of legal nihilism.

Thus, the media campaign launched on the eve of the State Council’s meeting that had positioned the event almost as the beginning of total reformatting of the political system, failed to achieve its goals, and the Russian president quite clearly and unambiguously spoke in favor of supporting the status quo making the room for interpretation of his words minimal. It should be also pointed out that the head of state thanked UR for utmost support to his initiatives having once again confirmed the status of the ruling party.

Law enforcement agencies were under tough media pressure. The interior ministry (revival of the Dymovsky project, arrest of lieutenant colonel Maurin and the death of an Omsk journalist tortured by a policeman) and the defense ministry (mass reshuffle it the top brass) were the first bodies to have been affected, followed by the Investigation Committee of the Prosecutor General’s Office (arrest of an IC officer suspected of extorting a $15m bribe; upholding Dmitry Dovgy’s sentence and allegedly planned mass personnel cuts in the central office) and the federal prison service (justice minister’s statement about the necessity to cut the number of the service’s personnel by one third). Such coincidence makes one think that the campaign aimed at pressurizing power bodies is coordinated to some extent (although most news-making occasions emerge spontaneously) with the objective to find a “weak link” (internal Fronde) sooner or later at least in one of them.

Different opposition forces became noticeably active. In particular, amendments to the State Duma regulations stipulating a timeframe for political statements to be made by the opposition at the beginning of every morning session were submitted last week. Despite criticism of being a “cosmetic” concession to the opposition, this rule will substantially broaden possibilities of the opposition to promote itself. At the beginning of a session almost the whole parliamentary pool of journalists is present, unlike the situation at the end of the meeting; this is why loud statements of the opposition will gain maximal resonance. However, the parliamentary opposition wants much more and it has submitted a bill on parliamentary control; a tough fight around this document has already started. The non-systemic opposition also became active; leading positions in this community are being passed from liberal forces to left radicals.

Major events January 18 - 24, 2010

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev and Vladimir Putin deliver speeches at the State Council’s meeting

Dmitry Medvedev, Vladimir Putin, UR, non-parliamentary parties

 

Campaign for radical reforms in the existing political system will become less active

A meeting of the council for implementing priority national projects

Dmitry Medvedev

 

National projects will be built into the modernization context

A meeting of the council for the economy’s modernization and innovation development

Ministry of Industry and Trade

Rosstandart

Debates about the format of reforms in technical regulations may provoke a serious conflict in the government

Submission of amendments to the State Duma regulations stipulating timeframe at the beginning of the morning session for political statements of the opposition

Parliamentary opposition

 

Initiatives of the parliamentary opposition will have certain resonance in the mass media

The Supreme Court upholds the sentence to former IC officer Dmitry Dovgy

Alexander Bastrykin

Yury Chaika

The SC’s decision will substantially strengthen Bastrykin’s positions

A high-ranking IC officer is arrested on suspicion of extorting a $15m bribe

Yury Chaika

Alexander Bastrykin

Investigation may reveal some facts unpleasant for the IC leadership

The government commission for administrative reforms decides to cut powers of the agriculture ministry

Federal anti-monopoly service, Igor Sechin

Agriculture ministry

Anti-monopoly service will keep attacking “excessive” authorities of other agencies

Vyacheslav Sinyugin leaves the post of deputy energy minister

Igor Sechin

Anatoly Chubais

Mop-up of the energy sector from protégés of Chubais will continue

The Constitutional Court recognizes the right of the Supreme Arbitration Court to provide abstract interpretation of rules of law

SAC

Supreme Court, Constitutional Court

There will be struggle around the content of the document specifying the SAC rights

Volume: 14 pages


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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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