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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (46) 734

Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (46) 734

November 3 - 9, 2008

Main tendencies of political week

Dmitry Medvedev’s Address to the Federal Assembly became the priority topic last week. Despite previously voiced suppositions, the Address contained a sizeable range of domestic policy issues. The document’s peculiarity, compared to previous addresses, was a noticeable appeal to moral values that the president suggested as the basis of informal pact between the elites and the public. The analysis of the values mentioned and their order in the president’s speech provide for the supposition that in the light of the Address the president acts as advocate of a socially oriented and paternalist system with elements of new liberalism that has little in common with dogmas of the Anglo-Saxon origin.

In addition to ideological component, the document contains a substantial number of concrete instructions to modernize the political system. The statement regarding prolongation of the president’s term in office to six years and of the State Duma’s to five years came as almost complete surprise. On the whole, this is aimed at stabilizing Russia’s political system and avoiding holding the presidential and parliamentary elections close to each other, which should decrease the agitation pressure on voters. These initiatives resulted in a new wave of rumors that the president has allegedly “worked off his contract with Vladimir Putin” and is not bound by anything; however, such speculations are likely to be the desire of thaw apologists to put a brave face on a sorry business.

Another important range of issues in the Address is devoted to reforms of the party system. On the whole, they are aimed at intensifying the party life by encouraging the so-called small parties. In particular, the president’s proposal to allocate one or two seats to political parties that collect 5% and 7% of the vote can be considered an attempt to encourage emerging parties that are not yet able to satisfy all necessary conditions to qualify to the State Duma.

Growing economic problems seem to have promoted consolidation of the elites and resulted in postponing some structural reforms for an indefinite period. In particular, Investigation Committee head Alexander Bastrykin’s statement that there has not been a political decision made regarding the creation of the single investigation body can be considered as evident sign of the refusal to carry out this reform.

Major events November 3 - November 9, 2008

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev’s Address to the Federal Assembly is promulgated

Dmitry Medvedev

 

The country will pursue the course of conservative modernization

Vladimir Putin commissions United Russia leaders to support all initiatives voiced by the president in the Address

Dmitry Medvedev, Vladimir Putin

 

Amendments to the Constitution will not be made earlier than next year due to a long procedure

Dmitry Medvedev instructs law enforcement agencies to toughly react to attempts to spread panic and use the negative situation in the economy to one’s advantage

Rashid Nurgaliyev, Alexander Bastrykin, Alexander Bortnikov

 

The role of law enforcement agencies will rise

Investigation committee head Alexander Bastrykin says a political decision to establish the single investigation body is not made

Alexander Bastrykin

Yury Chaika

Reforms of the law enforcement agencies are postponed for an indefinite period

Rashid Nurgaliyev reports about the results of the interior ministry’s activities

Rashid Nurgaliyev

 

This will not influence the minister’s positions in general

Deputy defense minister Nikolay Pankov says there will be no reduction of military schools

Anatoly Serdyukov

 

In the process of enlarging military schools there will be reduction in the teaching staff without prior arrangement

State Duma passes the package of presidential anti-graft bills in the first reading

 

 

The bills will be approved in the shortest time possible

Vladimir Zubrin is appointed deputy justice minister

Yury Chaika, Viktor Cherkesov

Alexander Bastrykin

The new appointee will represent the interests of Yury Chaika and Viktor Cherkesov

Actions of nationalists on Day of People’s Unity

 

 

Without real control of migration flows it will be hard for state authorities to cope with xenophobia of the Russian public

Federal bailiff service head Nikolay Vinnichenko says that in 2009 the number of officers in the service will increase by one third

Nikolay Vinnichenko

 

Vinnichenko will keep lobbying the idea of broadening authority of his service and its gradual transformation into a power body.

Volume: 15 pages


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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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