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Politics in Russia: power, lobby, conflicts. Issue No (50) 791

December 07 - 13, 2009

Main tendencies of political week

Discussions of the Perm nightclub fire tragedy hit the highlight last week. Due to understandable reasons, it was politicized and touched upon many issues of current politics. In this or that way many liberal media sources claimed that federal authorities were responsible for the series of recent tragic events (the Siberian hydropower plant disaster, the arms depot explosions in Ulyanovsk, the Nevsky Express derailment and the Perm fire). The State Duma opposition (LDPR, CPRF) also tried to make use of the tragedy demanding dismissal of emergencies minister Sergey Shoigu, which in reality was aimed at affecting United Russia. However the increased activity of the opposition (not only regarding the Perm tragedy but also other incidents) plays against it, because by the beginning of the spring election campaign the opposition will have been exhausted losing its drive, which on the whole plays into the hands of state authorities.

The party electoral topic was also in the spotlight last week. Political parties are readying for a new regional electoral cycle that will become indicative inter alia from the point of view of the layout of forces in 2011. Simultaneously there was a media campaign carried out to test the public opinion on possible changes on the party field. In particular, there was another wave of rumors about an allegedly upcoming merger of the communist party and Just Russia. There were also leaks organized about Boris Titov’s alleged breakup with Pravoe Delo (Titov announced the launch of the Zamodernizatsiyu.ru portal jointly with V. Inozemtsev and G. Yavlinsky). Meanwhile, UR primaries traditionally finished with some scandals.

The president kept sending signals to different strata of the population and elites. His moves at the beginning of last week were interpreted as anti-liberal by the majority of mass media sources. His statement at a media forum that the situation with the freedom was speech was fine in Russia caused a negative reaction. His request to the Federation Council to grant him a permanent right to use Russian troops abroad was also considered anti-liberal (anti-Constitutional). At the end of last week the head of state made some steps that were on the contrary perceived as reformative (a meeting with Constitutional Court judges and the staff cleansing in the federal prison service).

Major events December 07 - 13, 2009

Event Winning side Defeated side Development Outlooks

Dmitry Medvedev speaks at the European and Asian Media Forum

Dmitry Medvedev

 

The state will maintain control over the national informational space

Dmitry Medvedev meets with Constitutional Court judges

State Duma

Valery Zorkin

State Duma will continue ignoring instructions of the Constitutional Court amending the legislation in compliance with its rulings

Vladimir Putin visits Perm

   

Personnel cleansings in administrative oversight bodies will continue but this won’t substantially influence prevention of emergencies

Constitutional Court chair Valery Zorkin’s article is published in Rossiyskaya Gazeta

Valery Zorkin

Vladimir Yaroslavtsev

V. Yaroslavtsev will also have to resign some day

ROSTO is renamed back into DOSAAF

Anatoly Serdyukov

 

The new entity will be fully controlled by the defense ministry

Resignations in the federal prison service

Alexander Konovalov, Alexander Reimer

Representatives of Yury Kalinin’s team

Reshuffle will continue; the service’s top officials will be replaced

The parliamentary commission for investigating the Sayano-Shushenskaya power plant accident finishes its work

Anatoly Chubais

Igor Sechin

The anti-Chubais campaign will curtail

Maxim Sokolov is appointed head of the department of industry and infrastructure of the Russian government

Gazprom

 

Sokolov will facilitate the lobbying of construction of Okhta Center in St. Petersburg

A national protest action of motorists

 

Federation of Russian Motorists

The federation will be unable to efficiently hold protest actions

Volume: 14 pages


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Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Political compass”:

Political power in Russia after presidential election
State Corporations in the Russian Economy
Political Results of 2007: Russia on the Eve of Power Shuffle
Political Landscape Ahead of the Parliamentary Election 2007
«Centers of influence» in the Russian politics
Leading Russian corporations and the executive power: interaction methods
Forecast of political developments after the presidential election in 2008

All reports for: 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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