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State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2016, prospects for 2017

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2016, prospects for 2017

We traditionally conclude the year with our final report that sums up main events and tendencies of the outgoing year.

The report analyzes preliminary production results, main state decisions concerning the sector, the struggle for property, changes in export policies, and, certainly, forecasts of the sector development in the medium-term perspective.

You will find detailed answers to the following questions:

Production results of the year
- The record high oil output: leaders and outsiders in the sector
- How possible is it to grow in the repressive tax regime?
The OPEC agreement
- Will Russia observe new liabilities?
- Who will be the most affected? The gas market?
- Stagnation in production amid decline in demand and growth in exports
The Rosneft stake privatization story
- The case of selling 19.5% turns into a political earthquake
- The struggle for Bashneft, the arrest of minister Ulyukayev, the failure of a buyback plan, and the selling of the stake to a Qatari fund and Glencore for Gazprombank money – everything turned out to be a very intricately woven plot
- Who has won and who has lost? Who is behind the unexpected outcome? Is this case over?
Struggle for subsoil resources
- Distribution of licenses
- Battles for offshore deposits
- Activities of Rosgeologia
Export strategies of Russia
- Exports to Europe
- The movement towards Asia
- Growth in oil supplies to China
Fiscal regime
- Disappointed expectations, the latest fiscal surprises in 2016
Forecast
- What should be expected in 2017?

Contents of the report:

INTRODUCTION	3
Chapter 1. PRODUCTION RESULTS OF THE YEAR	5
Chapter 2. STRUGGLE FOR PROPERTY	27
Chapter 3. STRUGGLE FOR MINERAL RESOURCES	37
Chapter 4. LOOKING FOR TAXATION BALANCE	45
Chapter 5. EXPORT STRATEGIES OF RUSSIA: ON THE WAY TO A NEW WORLD	54
FORECAST	60

Date of release:	January 23, 2017

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:

Special report:

Nord Stream 2 and Ukraine: Costs Should Decide

There has been much discussion about how Russia – Europe’s biggest gas supplier – can continue to supply gas to Europe over the coming decades in the most secure and cost efficient way. Gazprom and its European partners have decided that building two additional pipelines through the Baltic Sea (Nord Stream 2) is the best commercial solution to secure future gas supplies for the EU, where gas production continues to decline and demand is expected to grow.

Shale Revolution: Myths and Realities

The boom in shale gas production in the US and its wide-ranging influence on markets rocked the gas world. Liquefied gas deliveries were redirected, altering the already fragile balance of demand and supply in traditional markets for pipeline gas in Europe.

Liquefied Natural Gas Outlook: Expectations and Reality

World market has shown interest to liquefied gas. Russia has so far been aside of it. However, producers have announced several large LNG projects. The new study will help investigate this delicate subject and understand what is in store for LNG production and export in the nearest years.

Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Green and Climate Agenda: Reset Attempt

In spite of dramatic worsening of relations with the West, the subject of climate has not vanished from Russian economic plans. Environmental issues have even topped the list of declared problems.

Government 2024: New Configuration of Regulators

While the result of the presidential election in Russia was absolutely predictable, further moves forming new government agencies were more intriguing. Eventually, on the one hand, it would seem that Putin chose to avoid radical decisions on the civilian part of the Cabinet. Prime Minister Mishustin kept his post and almost all deputy prime ministers did. On the other, there are still meaningful changes. First of all, the Ministry of Energy got a new head. This alone deserves special attention.

Lithium: New Energy Eldorado?

The energy transition is, on the one hand, rightly perceived by Russian oil and gas companies as a threat to their business. On the other, one should also look for new opportunities in the new energy industry. One of them is the production of lithium, the most important resource for electric vehicle batteries. The industry is rapidly growing, which opens up new horizons, for conventional fuel and energy companies, among others. Lithium is already beginning to cause increased interest in Russia, which calls for close scrutiny of the topic.

West’s Latest Sanctions Decisions, Their Effect on Russian Oil and Gas Industry

The report presents an analysis of the latest sanctions decisions on the part of the US, EU, and United Kingdom as well as practical measures to implement them.

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2023, 2024 outlook

The year 2023 posed a serious challenge to the Russian oil and gas sector that was subjected to extremely tough sanctions that could have led to collapse in exports of crude oil and petroleum products. The oil industry and corresponding regulatory mechanisms were tested throughout the year. The state, being in dire need of financial resources, had to save the chicken that lays golden eggs. How well is it coping with this task?

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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