
The energy transition is, on the one hand, rightly perceived by Russian oil and gas companies as a threat to their business. On the other, one should also look for new opportunities in the new energy industry.
One of them is the production of lithium, the most important resource for electric vehicle batteries. The industry is rapidly growing, which opens up new horizons, for conventional fuel and energy companies, among others.
Lithium is already beginning to cause increased interest in Russia, which calls for close scrutiny of the topic.
You will find the following subjects in the new NESF research:
Current lithium consumption and forecasts about demand
Lithium pricing
- Causes and consequences of the 2021-2022 “lithium rush”
- How prices were stabilised
- Spot and long-term contracts
- Sodium-ion vs lithium-ion batteries
Current lithium production picture. Specifics of estimating its reserves
- From the “Group of Three” (Australia, Chile, China) to a self-sufficiency policy?
- Outlook for Africa and North America
Vertical integration in the sector
- US policy and the path of China
Production technology
- Hard-rock mining and recovery from salt brines
- DLE (direct lithium extraction) as the equivalent of the shale revolution in the sector.
- Direct lithium extraction from produced oil-field water
- The first experience of foreign oil companies.
Outlook for hard-rock mining in Russia
Outlook for lithium extraction from produced oil-field water in Russia
- Audit of the first projects
Status of the entire process chain – from lithium to electric vehicles – in Russia
Key conclusions and future outlook
Contents of the report:
INTRODUCTION | 3 |
1. DEMAND AND PRICES: FROM ‘BUBBLE’ TO LOOKING FOR NEW NORMALITY | 4 |
1.1. Current Market Status | 4 |
1.2. Outcomes of ‘Lithium Rush’ | 6 |
1.3. High Prices Are Long-term Risks to Demand | 9 |
2. SUPPLY: FROM OLIGOPOLY TO COMPETITION? | 10 |
2.1. Current Lithium Production Picture | 10 |
2.2. Future Production: towards Self-sufficiency? | 11 |
2.3. Towards Vertical Integration | 15 |
3. PRODUCTION: WILL LITHIUM PRODUCTION HAVE ‘SHALE REVOLUTION’ OF ITS OWN? | 18 |
3.1. Recovery from Brines | 19 |
3.2. Hard-rock Mining | 20 |
3.3. DLE, Equivalent of ‘Shale Production’ in Lithium Sector | 20 |
4. LITHIUM FORMULA FOR RUSSIA: HARD-ROCK MINING PLUS DLE | 23 |
4.1. Outlook for Hard-rock Mining in Russia | 23 |
4.2. Recovery from Brines: Oil and Gas Interest | 25 |
4.3. From Lithium to Electric Vehicles? | 26 |
KEY CONCLUSIONS | 29 |
Date of release: | May 27, 2024 |