The new government with Vladimir Putin at the helm has proved unprepared for the liquidation of RAO UES of Russia. It turns out, as the assets of the holding company have been distributed, that there is no scheme for regulating the industry. Furthermore, the very concept of the operation of the power industry is currently a heap of controversies resulting from years of bureaucratic procedures and unceasing political compromises.
The government has found itself pressed for time on the threshold of the upcoming heating season and the need for building a new regulatory system virtually from scratch and on the fly. All this coincides with rapid growth in gas prices and the liberalisation of the electric power market. The probability of deficit of these resources in the national economy in the near future adds to that.
The Report offers an in-depth discussion of the following subjects
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Power industry without RAO UES
- Interim industry reform outcomes
- Sale of generation and its beneficiaries
- System faults and the outcomes of the redistribution of assets
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New system of government regulation in the industry
- Those in charge of the power industry
- The role of the Energy Ministry
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System of pricing for gas and electricity
- Exchange trade
- Long-term contracts
- Gas supply and demand issues
- Fuel market and difficulties providing power plants with energy resources
- Programme for positioning power industry facilities
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Gazprom strategy in the power industry
- Integration of assets having been acquired and failure of the SUEK takeover deal
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A medium-term forecast of developments
The contents of the report:
Introduction | 2 |
Chapter 1. Power Industry without RAO UES of Russia | 3 |
1.1. New Reality in Power Industry | 3 |
1.2. System of Control over Gazprom: Interchanging the Interchangeable and the Sechin Factor | 8 |
Chapter 2. Gas Supply in Russia in View of Growing Consumption: Challenges and Risks | 13 |
2.1. Gas Deficit and Gas Balance to 2020 | 14 |
2.2. Monopoly’s Investment «Bubble» and Financial Crisis | 20 |
2.3. Priority to Domestic Supplies | 28 |
Chapter 3. Demand and Pricing for Gas and Electricity. Problems of Exchange Trade in Gas | 32 |
3.1. Programme for Placing Power Industry Facilities; «Political Forecasting» of Demand for Gas and Electricity | 32 |
3.2. Long-term Contracts with Gazprom. Liberalisation of Gas and Electricity Prices | 35 |
3.3. Experiment with Sale of Gas on Electronic Floor. Prospects for Gas Exchange in St Petersburg | 39 |
Chapter 4. Gazprom Strategy in Power Industry. Integration of Assets Having Been Acquired and Failure of SUEK Takeover Deal | 42 |
Chapter 5. Key Conclusions and Forecasts | 49 |
Date of issue | December 1, 2008 |