Русская версия
( Translate with Google )


Main page > Products > The fuel and energy complex of Russia - Series of analytical reports > Central Asia and Caspian Sea region: geopolitical gas square

Central Asia and Caspian Sea region: geopolitical gas square

Central Asia and Caspian Sea region: geopolitical gas square

The Caspian Sea region and Central Asia remain in heightened focus of the EU, Russia, China and the USA. This geopolitical square is becoming more and more tangled.

On one side, we are observing development of production and pipeline projects. On the other side, political risks are rising.

This is why it is very important to figure out the region’s real production potential and the pace of implementation of transportation projects, as well as the economy of supplies and political developments.

This report analyzes progress in development of resources, problems of infrastructure and commercial relations between suppliers and buyers, as well as geopolitical aspects of struggle for Caspian gas resources.

Key topics of the report:

  • The region’s resource base

    • The current and forecasted production level
    • The real situation with development of deposits in Azerbaijan
    • Development of new resources in Turkmenistan (Southern Yolotan, offshore projects), projects in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan. Exotica, so far: Tajikistan and Afghanistan

  • Transportation hopes of Europe

    • Choosing the route of gas deliveries from phase 2 of Shah Deniz
    • The fate of Southern Corridor and possibilities of its expansion by engaging other countries: Turkmenistan and Iraq

  • Russia’s pipeline response

    • South Stream: success and main problems

  • China’s swiftly growing role in the region

    • China’s "quiet expansion": China’s gradual turning into real leader in Central Asia
    • Strengthening of geo-economic and political ties of Beijing and local regimes
    • Projects of gas pipelines to China

  • Situation on sales markets

    • Demand for natural gas in Southern Europe and Turkey
    • Sale of assets: unsuccessful privatization of DEPA, SOCAR buying DESFA

  • Medium-term forecast of developments

 

Contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. Azerbaijan’s Choice. Failure of Nabucco, Launch of Southern Corridor to Italy 4
1.1. Production in Azerbaijan 4
1.2. Gas Marketing. Domestic Market and Exports 13
1.3. Azerbaijan-Italy Corridor. Prospects of Other Projects 16
Chapter 2. Central Asian Gas 20
2.1. Turkmenistan 21
2.2. Projects in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan 25
2.3. Gazprom in Kyrgyzstan 27
2.4. New Resources in Tajikistan and Afghanistan 28
Chapter 3. Battle of Gas Pipelines 31
3.1. Asia-China Gas Pipeline 34
3.2. Turkmenistan Changes Gas Export Policy 37
3.3. TAPI Project 38
3.4. Half-Launching Southern Corridor, Mist Around Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline 41
3.5. South Stream 43
Chapter 4. Situation on Potential Sales Markets 46
4.1. Countries in Southern Europe 46
4.2. Italy 48
4.3. Greece 49
4.1. Bulgaria 51
4.5. Turkey 52
4.6. China 55
Chapter 5. Medium-Term Forecast of Developments 59
5.1. European Direction 59
5.2. Chinese Direction 60
5.3. Indian-Pakistani Direction 61
Date of release: October 7, 2013

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:
Bookmark and Share

Special report:

Nord Stream 2 and Ukraine: Costs Should Decide
Shale Revolution: Myths and Realities
Liquefied Natural Gas Outlook: Expectations and Reality

Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Outlook for Russian LNG Industry
Russian Energy and West One Year after Ukraine Conflict Began: Are There Connections Still?
Green Agenda in Russia during Bitter Conflict with West
After February 2022 the agenda was radically rewritten. Western companies began leaving Russia en masse, economic relations with the West were drastically reduced, and the Russian economy began to be pushed violently from the global economic space, hemmed in by sweeping sanctions. All that was, to put it mildly, not the best background for talking about ESG. Especially because tasks of survival and stability under unprecedented pressure became the priority in the economy. In late 2022, however, attempts to reanimate the ESG agenda already became obvious. The message is put across insistently that it is important to Russia regardless of the foreign policy situation. While earlier the “green pivot” was seen as an opportunity to attract Western investors and their technological solutions to Russia, now Keynesian reliance on domestic manufacture is discussed.
Oil and Gas Sector Regulation in 2022 and Prospects for 2023
Gazprom at the Forefront of Economic and Political Battles with Europe
Gazprom is being actively thrown out of the market. Its annual supplies to Europe have shrunk from the previous 150 billion to 65 billion cubic metres of gas. European officials assure that they have already learnt how to live without Russian gas, so they will bring its purchases down to but nominal values in 2023. Their main hope is liquefied natural gas. Today the EU must make a crucial decision: whether it has passed the point of no return in gas business with Russia and whether it is certain that its economy will endure without supplies of Russian pipeline gas. Or, on the contrary, Europe will realise after all that the gas balance will not be achieved and the payment for so headlong a rush for LNG will be disproportionate. Assessment of the potential volume of LNG that will appear on the market before the end of the current decade will be the most important factor for making the decision.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07
Rambler's Top100
About us | Products | Comments | Services | Books | Conferences | Our clients | Price list | Site map | Contacts
Consulting services, political risks assessment on the Fuel & Energy Industry, concern of pilitical and economic Elite within the Oil-and-Gas sector.
National Energy Security Fund © 2007
 LiveInternet