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Announcement of a series of analytical reports «The fuel and energy complex of Russia» - 2008

The Fuel & Energy
Complex of Russia:
Reality and Possibilities

The NESF presents a series of analytical reports devoted to development problems of Russian oil and gas complex, mechanism of decision-making process in Russian policy, situation in key institutes of executive authority, redistribution processes within powerful authorities.

Our subscribers have an opportunity to be deeply informed on situation in Russian oil and gas complex and development strategies of connected with it oil, gas and electric power industries. We offer our subscribers a comprehensive analysis of the state of the Russian energy sector and scenarios of its development in mid-future.

All materials and sources used for issuing the reports are thoroughly verified and analyzed by our experts. The information of NESF is based on industry statistics, data of oil and gas companies, information of federal and regional mass-media, materials of conferences and round tables.

The series consists of 8 reports which are issued within February-December 2008

1. Statutory Framework of the Oil and Gas Industry

(Marh 3, 2008)

Vladimir Putin has outlined approximate framework of the new political system. So it is already possible to make conclusions regarding the political environment in which the energy industry will be developing. The legislative framework of the industry is highly important as well. The previous State Duma did not pass all the bills it planned, including the new edition of the Subsoil Law, Foreign Investments in Strategic Spheres Law.

The new study analyzes new draft laws that the lower house will be dealing with, focusing on the composition of the new Duma from the standpoint of energy corporations’ lobbyists.

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2. Gazprom: What Future is in Store for the Company under the «new» Putin and Medvedev?

(April 21, 2008)

Gazprom remains the top company in the fuel and energy sector of Russia. This is also the main company for Putin, who remains the most significant player both in home politics and energy. The dominating power clans are fighting for control of Gazprom and western corporations are craving for partnership. In the mean time, Gazprom is facing strong resistance to its expansion plans.

The study focuses on the following subjects: feasibility of Gazprom’s new production projects and the development of the unified gas-supply system, recent personnel turnover in the company and the extent of the power clans’ influence on Gazprom, assets swap strategies with western energy majors, relations with independent gas producers. The main goal is to understand the role of the monopoly in post-Putin Russia.

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3. New Configuration of Political Power and the Oil and Gas Industry Management System

(June 9, 2008)

The presidential election is over, the new government is formed, the new authority of prime minister and status of Vladimir Putin are clear. It is important to analyze how the new energy management system works, who makes essential decisions.

The focus is on the role of Vladimir Putin and the power clans around him in the new management system.

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4. War for Energy Resources of Southern and Central Europe, the Caspian Region and Central Asia

(July 9, 2008)

The competition between Russian and anti-Russian pipeline projects in the south of Europe is escalating. The fight is on for the hydrocarbon reserves of the Caspian Region, Central Asia, and Iran, as well as transport routes. China is wading into the energy truck between Russia and the West in an attempt to redirect supply channels to it.

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5. Nationalization and Privatization in the Oil and Gas Industry

(August 27, 2008)

On the one hand, we are witnessing rapid nationalization tendencies in the industry. On the other, assets are being taken out of government control. Each of the power clans is trying to establish optimal control of the industry that would include both state-owned firms and assets owned by veiled shareholders. It appears that assets are being taken from former owners but not all of them arrive under government control.

The Putin’s clans are trying to minimize risks through this shadow privatization.

6. Main Global Energy Trends and the Place of Russian Companies

(October 8, 2008)

The study is devoted to the conflict between the world of upstream and the world of downstream. Western corporations are trying to fight local nationalizations, Russian, Middle Eastern, and Latin American companies are in their turn trying to combat the snobbery of multinational majors. A fierce war is on for assets and the stakes are extremely high.

The study analyzes the strategies of foreign companies in the Russian market and those of Russian companies overseas and offers mid-term forecast.

7. Domestic Market: Current Status and Possibilities

(November 12, 2008)

Power industry reform is drawing towards completion. In summer 2008 RAO UES of Russia should be liquidated. Electricity and gas are turning into exchange commodities. The questions we ask are ‘how will the government regulate gas and electricity prices?’; ‘how will suppliers-consumers relations develop?’; ‘will the domestic market suffer severe shortages?’

The goal of the study is to understand visible and obscure mechanisms of the gas and electricity market’s work.

8. Government Control of the Oil and Gas Industry in 2008 and Possibilities in 2009

(December 29, 2008)

This study is our traditional work. We have been summing up political and economic results of the year for many consecutive years now.

The focus is on the changes in oil and gas management system, redistribution of assets, competition between power clans for property, tax and customs innovations, economic state of upstream and downstream segments. At the end of the study we offer a forecast for the next year, a look into economic possibilities and political dangers.

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Outlook for Russian LNG Industry
Russian Energy and West One Year after Ukraine Conflict Began: Are There Connections Still?
Green Agenda in Russia during Bitter Conflict with West
After February 2022 the agenda was radically rewritten. Western companies began leaving Russia en masse, economic relations with the West were drastically reduced, and the Russian economy began to be pushed violently from the global economic space, hemmed in by sweeping sanctions. All that was, to put it mildly, not the best background for talking about ESG. Especially because tasks of survival and stability under unprecedented pressure became the priority in the economy. In late 2022, however, attempts to reanimate the ESG agenda already became obvious. The message is put across insistently that it is important to Russia regardless of the foreign policy situation. While earlier the “green pivot” was seen as an opportunity to attract Western investors and their technological solutions to Russia, now Keynesian reliance on domestic manufacture is discussed.
Oil and Gas Sector Regulation in 2022 and Prospects for 2023
Gazprom at the Forefront of Economic and Political Battles with Europe
Gazprom is being actively thrown out of the market. Its annual supplies to Europe have shrunk from the previous 150 billion to 65 billion cubic metres of gas. European officials assure that they have already learnt how to live without Russian gas, so they will bring its purchases down to but nominal values in 2023. Their main hope is liquefied natural gas. Today the EU must make a crucial decision: whether it has passed the point of no return in gas business with Russia and whether it is certain that its economy will endure without supplies of Russian pipeline gas. Or, on the contrary, Europe will realise after all that the gas balance will not be achieved and the payment for so headlong a rush for LNG will be disproportionate. Assessment of the potential volume of LNG that will appear on the market before the end of the current decade will be the most important factor for making the decision.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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