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Arctic: Soviet-type Gigantomania or Breakthrough Project?

Arctic: Soviet-type Gigantomania or Breakthrough Project?

The Arctic, before our very eyes, is gaining features of not even just a major project, but something approaching a national idea.

The nation is rapidly returning to Soviet-scale development of the Arctic. It is time we spoke about a real “Arctic mania.” It very logically fits into the economic policy of the government whose reliance on major industrial projects is increasingly obvious. Therefore the Arctic becomes almost central on the list of the executive’s industrial priorities. And the principle supposed to be behind it is “at all costs.”

A special role in this story is reserved for liquefied natural gas and crude oil. Otherwise the 80 million tonnes of annual freight transport along the Northern Sea Route stated as a goal in Putin’s inauguration decree simply cannot be achieved by 2024.

Special importance is attached to LNG – because its production must ensure a cumulative effect creating demand for shipbuilding, steel products, and power engineering.

The state is the key investor in the Arctic project.

Stakeholders constantly generate more and more proposals and ideas trying to profit from the Arctic fashion. There is a huge crowd of interested parties round the Arctic pie: powerful bureaucrats, companies from oil and gas, nuclear power, transport.

The internal fight for the Arctic or, more precisely, for Arctic appropriations, becomes more and more furious and curious.

In the new report you will find the following subjects:

  • A map of Arctic stakeholders

    • Who are they, the main bureaucratic and corporate players in the Russian Arctic?
    • Key interests of corporations and bureaucratic clans in the Arctic, the strategies they pursue

  • The system of government control of the Arctic

    • It has undergone serious change lately. A new government ministry in charge of the Arctic has appeared: the Far East Development Ministry has become the Far East and Arctic Development Ministry and a new Senior Deputy Minister for the Arctic has been appointed.
    • The limits of Arctic powers of other ministries and agencies have changed. We will show who is responsible for what segments of state policy on the Arctic and where key conflicts focus.

  • State programmes to develop the region

    • How the interests of competing groups are “built into” government documents

  • Oil and gas plans and the problem of transport of resources

    • What main production projects will be carried out and what their transport logistics are.
    • The fight for Arctic navigation and control of the Northern Sea Route.

Contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Key Players in Russian Arctic 6
Novatek 6
Rosneft 11
Gazprom 17
Gazprom Neft 18
Rosatom 21
Lukoil 24
Defence Ministry 25
Rostec 26
Deputy Prime Minister for the Arctic 28
Heads of Arctic Regions 29
Bureaucratic Mechanisms for Key Players to Advance Interests in Arctic 31
Novatek 31
Rosneft 39
Rostec 45
Rosatom 46
Deputy Prime Minister for the Arctic 47
Other players 50
Conflicts over control of the Northern Sea Route 52
Government Programmes to Develop the Arctic 56
A medium-term forecast of developments 63
Date of release: May 13, 2019

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Outlook for Russian LNG Industry
Russian Energy and West One Year after Ukraine Conflict Began: Are There Connections Still?
Green Agenda in Russia during Bitter Conflict with West
After February 2022 the agenda was radically rewritten. Western companies began leaving Russia en masse, economic relations with the West were drastically reduced, and the Russian economy began to be pushed violently from the global economic space, hemmed in by sweeping sanctions. All that was, to put it mildly, not the best background for talking about ESG. Especially because tasks of survival and stability under unprecedented pressure became the priority in the economy. In late 2022, however, attempts to reanimate the ESG agenda already became obvious. The message is put across insistently that it is important to Russia regardless of the foreign policy situation. While earlier the “green pivot” was seen as an opportunity to attract Western investors and their technological solutions to Russia, now Keynesian reliance on domestic manufacture is discussed.
Oil and Gas Sector Regulation in 2022 and Prospects for 2023
Gazprom at the Forefront of Economic and Political Battles with Europe
Gazprom is being actively thrown out of the market. Its annual supplies to Europe have shrunk from the previous 150 billion to 65 billion cubic metres of gas. European officials assure that they have already learnt how to live without Russian gas, so they will bring its purchases down to but nominal values in 2023. Their main hope is liquefied natural gas. Today the EU must make a crucial decision: whether it has passed the point of no return in gas business with Russia and whether it is certain that its economy will endure without supplies of Russian pipeline gas. Or, on the contrary, Europe will realise after all that the gas balance will not be achieved and the payment for so headlong a rush for LNG will be disproportionate. Assessment of the potential volume of LNG that will appear on the market before the end of the current decade will be the most important factor for making the decision.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07
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