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Dragon hunting: Russia fighting its way to oriental markets

Dragon hunting: Russia fighting its way to oriental markets

The West’s distrust in Russia intensified further in 2014 thanks to the well-known political reasons. Pushing Russia from the European market is becoming an obsession of Brussels that is pursuing this policy quite aggressively. Although there are no really practical results, this cannot but irritates Russia that is thinking more and more often about Asian consumers.

Moreover, this part of the world is forecasted to have confident rise in the demand for oil and natural gas.

Meanwhile, Russia’s geographical location enables it to export hydrocarbons both to the west and to the east. This is why the Asian vector of the Russian oil and gas sector looks quite natural.

There is some success in this direction – oil supplies to China and the Pacific coast are rising actively amid a major gas conflict sealed with China in 2014.

However, there are some pitfalls: Russia has to assess profitability of exports, costs of building new infrastructure, the lack of reserves in the east, the importance of avoiding making China the only consumer of hydrocarbons and to consider the necessity of pumping hydrocarbons from Western Siberia, which decreases commercial efficiency of such exports.

Key topics of the report:

  • Potential demand on Asian markets

    • Forecasts of oil and gas consumption and imports by Asian countries
    • What window of opportunity does Russia have?
  • Gas contract with China: possibilities and threats

    • Production costs of the project and its profitability
    • Real timeframes of the contract implementation
    • The situation in the upstream segment
  • Competition between Russian companies for the Asian market

    • Is liberalization of piped gas exports necessary?
  • Oil exports to Asia and Europe: what is more profitable?

    • Tariff polices
    • Resource assets of exports
    • Infrastructure possibilities for redirecting export flows
    • Taxation procedures for eastern projects
  • Forecast of development of exports to Asia

    • Quantities in the future, possibilities of making new contracts, the pace of implementation, price disputes with consumers

Contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. Changing layout of world energy sector 5
Chapter 2. Russia’s strategy on Asian markets 15
Chapter 3. Eastern vector of Russian oil industry: first results and prospects 26
Chapter 4. Development of gas exports to Asia: new opportunities, new risks 39
Forecast of developments 50
Date of release: July 31, 2014

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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After February 2022 the agenda was radically rewritten. Western companies began leaving Russia en masse, economic relations with the West were drastically reduced, and the Russian economy began to be pushed violently from the global economic space, hemmed in by sweeping sanctions. All that was, to put it mildly, not the best background for talking about ESG. Especially because tasks of survival and stability under unprecedented pressure became the priority in the economy. In late 2022, however, attempts to reanimate the ESG agenda already became obvious. The message is put across insistently that it is important to Russia regardless of the foreign policy situation. While earlier the “green pivot” was seen as an opportunity to attract Western investors and their technological solutions to Russia, now Keynesian reliance on domestic manufacture is discussed.

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