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Petrochemistry: Rocky Road to Advanced Processing

Petrochemistry: Rocky Road to Advanced Processing

For years now we have heard the mantra that it is wrong to export crude oil and unprocessed natural gas. That they, in fact, ought to be processed and that finished products ought to be sold. This task, however, is not that trivial. The market for petrochemistry is a separate world and one has to understand if there is a place for our products there. The question is not only if there is enough production capacity; the trouble is there might not be unoccupied market niches.

The new NESF report provides an understanding of what the structure of this industry is like today; exactly what products are in demand; what will be in demand in the near future; and whether Russia’s strategy is correct.

In the report you will find answers to the following questions:

  • The structure of the global market for petrochemistry

    • Key primary products and demand structure: propylene, ethylene, chlorine, p-Xylene, and others
    • Basic supply chains
    • Key players and users
  • The most promising segments of natural gas-based petrochemistry, including methanol and olefins

    • Supply chains and creation of value
    • Supply and demand
  • The market for industrial gases:

    • Key producers
    • How capacious and interesting is it?
  • Helium market:

    • Are the expectations correct?
    • As Russian projects in the East are discussed, the subject of helium is raised very often. The idea of helium export accompanies the project to supply gas to China and to develop the Kovyktinskoye field. But is there a place for Russian helium in the market?
  • Forecast: what does Russia intend to produce and is the target well-chosen?

    • An assessment of the adequacy of the largest petrochemical projects
    • The influence of low prices on their cost-effectiveness
    • Will we fit in the market?
    • Will export to China live up to expectations?

Contents of the report

INTRODUCTION 3
INDUSTRIAL GASES MARKET OVERVIEW 4
Helium market: Current Status & Long-term Trends. Russia’s Place 12
MARKET FOR PETROCHEMICALS: OVERVIEW & KEY TRENDS 22
OLEFINS & POLYOLEFINS MARKET OVERVIEW 28
Key Trends on Ethylene Market 28
Analysis of Ethylene Production Costs. Market Forecast 31
POLYOLEFINS: POLYETHYLENE & POLYPROPYLENE MARKET OVERVIEW 34
RUSSIA IN MARKET FOR KEY MONOMERS & POLYMERS 41
Structure of Raw Materials and Pyrolysis Capacity in Russia: Current and Forecast 41
Key Petrochemical Projects in Russia: Forecast for Capacity Growth and Development of Key Clusters 44
Market Overview for Key Polymers in Russia 48
Prospects for Export of Key Polymers: Two Scenarios to 2030 52
US ROLE IN OLEFINS & POLYOLEFINS MARKET 58
KEY TRENDS ON METHANOL MARKET 65
MTO/MTP Technologies: Impact of Their Economics on Methanol’s Future 67
Russia’s Position on Global Methanol Market 70
Methanol Market Development Prospects 75
IRAN’S AMBITIOUS PLANS: FICTION OR REALITY? 77
RUSSIA’S PROSPECTS IN PETROCHEMICAL MARKET: MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST 84
Date of release: October 30, 2017

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2018, prospects for 2019
Gazprom on Path to New Reality
Looking for Best Tax Treatment of Oil and Gas: Fiscal Experiments Continued
The subject of taxation became the absolute hit of 2018. The government once again decided to rewrite the rules of the game. President Putin’s new inauguration decree served as the main pretext. It turned out that about 8 trillion roubles extra was necessary for the new national projects announced. The Cabinet did not take long to decide where the funds should be taken. The result was acceleration of the so-called tax manoeuvre started as far back as 1 January 2015. It suggested shifting the tax burden to the wellhead: the effect on the state budget of gradual abandonment of the export duty will be more than compensated for by quicker growth in mineral resources extraction tax (MRET). The laws on tax reform have already gone through the parliament and will take effect as of next year. This means nothing good for companies.
Results of Pivot to the East in Oil and Gas Sector
New government structure and FES: Reformatting the state system administrating the sector

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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