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Gazprom: Goliath is not going to surrender

Gazprom: Goliath is not going to surrender

Contradictions between major players on the Russian gas market keep accumulating. Depressed demand on the market and increased supply by independent producers restrict gas output of Gazprom and sharpen competition for financially reliable consumers creating the ground for new intrigues around configuration of the sector.

The situation on foreign markets is positive. Russian gas exports to the European Union keep growing. The increased demand for gas imports, concerns about reliability of transit via Ukraine, and mutual tiredness of sanction policies form the background for settlement of gas disputes and for development of constructive cooperation on new projects.

The Asian direction is not left unattended. Decline in revenues from domestic supplies, due to redistribution of the profit margin and departure of premium clients to independent producers, and from exports over low prices of hydrocarbons create problems for Gazprom’s financial standing. Growth in the tax burden on Gazprom contributes to these problems. Nevertheless, a comfortable level of debts and access to Western and Asian markets of capital, coupled with optimization of expenses on gas purchases and investments, enable Gazprom to hold its ground even in current conditions.

This report by the NESF analyzes the current standing of Gazprom.

The report elaborates on the following issues:

  • Gazprom is surrounded by independent producers: the situation on the domestic gas market

    • The situation regarding supply and pricing
    • Development of exchange trade
    • New proposals by independent producers on gas sector restructuring, Gazprom’s counterattack
  • Gazprom on foreign markets

    • New leap into Europe: How long will it last?
    • The problem of transit via Ukraine, the fate of new pipeline projects
    • The Turkish saga
  • Financial and economic standing of Gazprom

    • Taxation of Gazprom
    • Dynamics of revenues and expenses
    • Investment policies
    • Debt burden
  • The medium-term forecast of developments

    • What will happen to restructuring on the domestic market?
    • What awaits Gazprom on foreign markets?

Contents of the report:

1.1. Demand, pricing 4
1.2. Production circuit 8
1.3. New round of struggle for sector restructuring 14
1.4. Gas trade on exchange: interim results, prospects 19
2.1. Gas supplies to EU-28 22
2.2. Gazprom and Turkey 28
2.3. Ukraine, new pipeline projects 31
3.1. Revenue and expenditure 42
3.2. Taxation of Gazprom 45
3.3. Investments. 47
3.4. Debt burden/td> 50
Chapter 4. FORECAST. 54
4.1. Domestic market 54
4.2. Exports 56
Date of release: January 18, 2017

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Hydrogen Agenda in Russia during Economic War with West
Russian Oil Exports: from Covid-induced Demand Collapse to Sanctions War
State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2021, 2022 outlook
Gazprom on Pricing Crest. Current Situation in European Gas Market
Oil Tax Policy: Squeezing Last or Chance to Restart Industry?

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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