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Eastern energy policy of Russia

Eastern energy policy of Russia

Over the past few years the topic of development of Russia’s eastern regions has become one of the priorities in statements by top state officials. So, now it indeed seems to have become priority of state policy.

Thus, development of eastern oil and gas deposits and construction of pipelines is becoming an important goal. And other projects are unlikely to be implemented in this region that has no infrastructure and sufficient labor force but has complicated climate conditions. We can speculate about non-mining industries as much as possible, but their development in Eastern Siberia is unlikely to be economically logical.

The focus on the East can be easily explained. Our difficulties in relations with the EU are too evident. Meanwhile, Asia has become the main driver of growth in the world demand for energy sources. It would be silly to miss this relatively new market for Russia.

However, not every theory becomes practical. The National Energy Security Fund tries to assess the real situation around development of Eastern Siberian oil and gas projects.

Key topics of the report:

  • Resource base of eastern projects

    • Dynamic of geological prospecting
    • Licensing policy of the state – who owns major reserves in the East?
  • Oil infrastructure and production

    • Correspondence of the pace of launch of new pipeline capacities and new production projects
    • The necessity to transfer oil from Western Siberia
  • Domestic demand in the region, marketing policy

    • Correspondence of production levels to sales plans
  • Export policies

    • Feasibility of sealing gas contracts with China and Japan
    • Political showdown for oil exports to China: reasons and consequences
  • Implementation of Eastern Gas Program

    • Dynamic of development of Yakutian and Irkutsk gas deposits
    • Situation with gas production in Sakhalin
  • Gas transmit projects

    • "Power of Siberia" – timeframes and prices
  • Problems of oil refining and gas chemistry development in the region

  • Prospects of developments

The contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. Official Plans of Developing Oil and Gas Potential of Eastern Siberia and Far East 6
Chapter 2. Reserves in the Region, State of Geological Prospecting 13
Chapter 3. Correspondence of Production Potential to New Export Obligations 19
3.1. Export Obligations of Rosneft 23
3.2. Current and Forecasted Level of Oil Production in Eastern Regions 26
3.3. Current and Forecasted Level of Gas Production in Eastern Regions 30
Chapter 4. Race of LNG Projects, Possibility of Exports by Independent Producers to Asia 37
Chapter 5. Taxation Procedures for Eastern Deposits 44
Chapter 6. Domestic Market of Gas and Oil Products in the East of Russia. Problems of Gas and Oil Processing 47
Conclusion 53
Date of release: August 12, 2013

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Gazprom is being actively thrown out of the market. Its annual supplies to Europe have shrunk from the previous 150 billion to 65 billion cubic metres of gas. European officials assure that they have already learnt how to live without Russian gas, so they will bring its purchases down to but nominal values in 2023. Their main hope is liquefied natural gas. Today the EU must make a crucial decision: whether it has passed the point of no return in gas business with Russia and whether it is certain that its economy will endure without supplies of Russian pipeline gas. Or, on the contrary, Europe will realise after all that the gas balance will not be achieved and the payment for so headlong a rush for LNG will be disproportionate. Assessment of the potential volume of LNG that will appear on the market before the end of the current decade will be the most important factor for making the decision.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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