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The Oil and Gas Industry and the Putin’s Energy Project

The Oil and Gas Industry and the Putin’s Energy Project

President Vladimir Putin has pledged not to run for the third consecutive presidency. However, it is obvious that he will not disappear from the Russian politics and economics. What will Putin take up after he leaves the Kremlin? One of the possible scenarios is a job in the energy sector. This is an interesting, not too confusing and promising field. Oil and gas are the Russia’s main cards and possibly the Putin’s key to the global hydrocarbon market. Hence is the big significance of the Putin’s energy project.

It is possible that Putin intends to establish an energy platform for himself before he has to go and minimize the risk of getting kicked down after the next presidential election. Hiring former European politicians, Putin understands perfectly that the «life after presidency» will depend on the ability to control significant economic assets. How does he see the industry after his presidency expires? What will be his role in the oil and gas industry? The new research by the Energy Security Fund tries to give answers to these questions.

The research studies the possible scenarios of the industry development «after Putin»:

Establishment of an energy mega corporation for Putin to run
- Possibilities of state companies Gazprom and Rosneft merger
- Associated political risks
- The possibility that the union will also take over Transneft, Sovkomflot, and Novoship
- The fate of private oil companies
Mechanical scenario of the Fuel & Energy Industry development
- Putin remains in politics, Gazprom and Rosneft continue bloating
- The two corporations are running out of opportunities for growth and their interests may collide
Putin’s opportunities to become chief of a multinational energy business
- Putin and the «Gas OPEC»
- The possibility of an alliance between Russia, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan

The content of the report:

Introduction	2
Chapter 1. Impartial and Personal Goals of Putin in the Oil and Gas Industry	4
1.1. General Issues of the Industry	4
1.2. Putin’s Personal Goals in the Energy Business	20
Chapter 2. Basic Career Scenarios for Putin after March 2008	22
2.1. Build a «National Pride»	22
2.2. Head of the Gas Giant	26
2.3. Mechanical Scenario	29
2.4. Transition to the Above-Nation Level	33
2.5. Highly Unrealistic Scenario - Leader of New Eurasian Oil and Gas Coalition	37
Conclusion	41

Date of publication	Volume
August 6, 2007	41 pages

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:

Special report:

Liquefied Natural Gas Outlook: Expectations and Reality

World market has shown interest to liquefied gas. Russia has so far been aside of it. However, producers have announced several large LNG projects. The new study will help investigate this delicate subject and understand what is in store for LNG production and export in the nearest years.

Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

State regulation in the oil and gas sector in 2011 and prospects for 2012

The year 2011 turned out to be rather contradictory for the oil and gas industry. On one side, preliminary results of basic parameters seem quite satisfactory. On the other side, the depletion of oil production growth potential is becoming more obvious. Prime Minister Vladimir Putin several times mentioned that the oil industry reached its peak. This was described as an ordinary event, although in reality it reflects recognition of strategic mistakes once made.

The Present and Future of Gazprom

Gazprom’s 2010-2011 financial results were phenomenal. An employment contract of Gazprom CEO Alexey Miller, who has been managing the gas giant for 10 years, was prolonged ahead of time for another five years. However, the country’s main company found itself under powerful pressure both on the domestic and external markets.

State management in the oil and gas sector: Last autumn of current political cycle

The main political intrigue of the upcoming election cycle would seem to be over. Vladimir Putin is set to return to the president’s office, while Dmitry Medvedev is to chair the Cabinet. But in reality, everything is just about to begin. Some scenarios of reformatting Russian state authorities are indeed ruled out. Yet, there are many unclear things, including the question of the oil and gas sector management. Changes in the system are unavoidable. There is temptation to fix the rules of the game for the next six years, which adds a special connotation to the upcoming transformation.

Central Asia and Caspian Region: Problems of Development and Transportation of Hydrocarbons

Despite problems related to signing contracts on purchasing gas from the Caspian region countries, the European Commission is fully determined to implement Southern Corridor projects to reduce dependence on Russia. In its turn, Moscow keeps steadily promoting its alternative South Stream project. But the price of the question puts both sides into a difficult position.

Export Strategy of Russia’s Oil and Gas Sector

In 2010 the Russian oil industry set an absolute record in terms of production. An oil pipeline to China has been launched this year expanding our potential of oil supplies to Asia. Diversification of export routes seemed to be quite a reasonable strategy on the background of growing production. However, there are certain factors that should be taken into account.

All reports for: 2011 , 2010 , 2009 , 2008 , 2007

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