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Non-residents in Russia: complexity of conflict, possibilities

Non-residents in Russia: complexity of conflict, possibilities

On the background of the current political situation, one should not expect the sanction policy to cease and usual business partnerships with the West to resume. On the contrary, relations with the USA and the EU are getting worse, while a possibility of a new military conflict in Ukraine is growing. This situation raises questions about cooperation of Russian companies with non-residents and about the presence of Western companies on the Russian market.

What will the latter choose? Actually not everything is as simple as it looks like. There are options even in such a situation.

Non-residents may pursue the exit strategy or try to strengthen their positions on the Russian market by taking advantage of the situation to secure additional preferences from Russian state authorities. The latter are also facing a dilemma: to persuade Western majors to keep investing in Russia or to start luring Chinese and Indian companies positioning them as alternative to Western businesses and a new page in development of the Russian oil and gas sector.

Key topics of the report:

  • The current situation around projects with participation of foreign companies in Russia

    • Implementation of oil and gas projects jointly with Western companies in Russia in the new geopolitical situation
    • Companies that have left Russia and companies that have remained here
  • China as substitute

    • How does the strategy of replacing Western companies with Chinese ones work?
    • Why is China not rushing for Russia?
  • Legal status of work of non-residents in Russia

    • Are concessions possible?
    • Will they motivate foreign companies?
  • Cooperation with companies consuming Russian energy resources

    • Influence of the political situation on projects of delivery of Russian hydrocarbons to markets
  • Russian fuel and energy companies on the world market

  • Medium-term forecast of developments

Contents of the report:

Introduction 3
Chapter 1. NON-RESIDENTS IN THE RUSSIAN UPSTREAM SEGMENT IN NEW REALITY 5
Chapter 2. RUSSIAN OIL SERVICES SECTOR UNDER SANCTIONS 24
Chapter 3. NON-RESIDENTS IN PIPELINE PROJECTS IN RUSSIA: AN OLD OX MAKES A STRAIGHT FURROW 38
Chapter 4. NEW CONDITIONS OF COOPERATION BETWEEN RUSSIAN OIL FIRMS AND FOREIGN PARTNERS ABROAD 46
MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST OF DEVELOPMENTS 55
Date of release: July 13, 2015

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2018, prospects for 2019
Gazprom on Path to New Reality
Looking for Best Tax Treatment of Oil and Gas: Fiscal Experiments Continued
The subject of taxation became the absolute hit of 2018. The government once again decided to rewrite the rules of the game. President Putin’s new inauguration decree served as the main pretext. It turned out that about 8 trillion roubles extra was necessary for the new national projects announced. The Cabinet did not take long to decide where the funds should be taken. The result was acceleration of the so-called tax manoeuvre started as far back as 1 January 2015. It suggested shifting the tax burden to the wellhead: the effect on the state budget of gradual abandonment of the export duty will be more than compensated for by quicker growth in mineral resources extraction tax (MRET). The laws on tax reform have already gone through the parliament and will take effect as of next year. This means nothing good for companies.
Results of Pivot to the East in Oil and Gas Sector
New government structure and FES: Reformatting the state system administrating the sector

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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