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Russian Oil & Gas in 2025: Picture of Future

Russian Oil & Gas in 2025: Picture of Future

We all want to know what the next few years have in store for the oil and gas industry. Two key approaches to the future are known, including the future of the oil and gas industry.

The first is to try and understand what, after all, awaits the industry ahead based on the current trends. The second is to design that very future. Draw a plan that has to be followed. So risks and problems can be avoided in time.

Formally, the government tries to go the second way. We are not short of documents called strategic. There is the Energy Strategy and sectoral General Schemes that are constantly expanded and rewritten. However, the industry lives its own life that is very different from the papers generated by the Energy Ministry.

The real designers of the future are the heads of the leading oil and gas corporations who pursue their own agenda proceeding from their own selfish interests. They do not put it down on paper. But we will reconstruct their plans and show what their actual design is.

The new NESF's report will give you an understanding of what forks the industry is facing and what way attempts are made to have the oil and gas industry choose.

The report elaborates on the following issues:

  • Official plans

    • Is there point in reading Russia’s Energy Strategy?
    • The reasons for the amendments, who writes it?
    • When a new version of the Strategy will be published?
    • And most importantly: why does the industry not live by it after all?
  • Sectoral documents

    • The General Schemes for the gas and oil industry development
    • The Concept of the Domestic Gas Market Development
    • What are their latest updates?
    • What ideas will be built into their new versions?
    • Will the oil and gas industries really develop according to those texts?
  • Companies’ plans: official and actual

    • Russian companies have started publishing their forecasts about the oil and gas industry development. But their actual views of what Russian oil and gas should be like are of much more interest to us. They will not write about that officially.
    • For instance, Rosneft will never admit that it intends to take over Transneft and turn itself into a sort of Oil Industry Ministry.
    • The leading players’ actual plans for the future are the centre of attention in our new research.

Contents of the report:

HOW TO LOOK INTO THE FUTURE? 3
ENERGY STRATEGY OF RUSSIA – CONTINUATION OF FORECASTING SORROWS 5
Struggle for authorship 5
Oil sector 9
Gas sector 14
GENERAL PLANS OF OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY DEVELOPMENT: LOBBYISTS ARE WATCHFUL 20
CORPORATE FORECASTS 26
BACK TO THE OIL MINISTRY? 29
Struggle for LUKOIL 30
How to get back the pipeline 33
NI HAO OR OPERATION PRIVATIZATION 39
STRUGGLE FOR THE FUTURE OF THE DOMESTIC GAS MARKET AND GAS EXPORTS 43
REAL ENERGY STRATEGIES OF MAJORS 54
Date of release: December 25, 2017

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

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Sanctions against Russian Oil and Gas: Pressure Continued
Arctic: Soviet-type Gigantomania or Breakthrough Project?
State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2018, prospects for 2019
Gazprom on Path to New Reality
Looking for Best Tax Treatment of Oil and Gas: Fiscal Experiments Continued
The subject of taxation became the absolute hit of 2018. The government once again decided to rewrite the rules of the game. President Putin’s new inauguration decree served as the main pretext. It turned out that about 8 trillion roubles extra was necessary for the new national projects announced. The Cabinet did not take long to decide where the funds should be taken. The result was acceleration of the so-called tax manoeuvre started as far back as 1 January 2015. It suggested shifting the tax burden to the wellhead: the effect on the state budget of gradual abandonment of the export duty will be more than compensated for by quicker growth in mineral resources extraction tax (MRET). The laws on tax reform have already gone through the parliament and will take effect as of next year. This means nothing good for companies.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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