Global politics are the framework for energy relations. However, energy projects are developed and deals are made immediately at the corporate level.
It is companies that form the threads that tie nations in the energy business. It is therefore important to analyse relations between Russian and Western corporations.
As long as companies from the “collective West” stay in Russia, there are still options for continuing co-operation. The latter still brings Russia fiscal revenue and markets.
The report gives answers to the following questions:
How Western corporations reacted to sanctions decisions
- Who was among the first to go, who delayed going but failed to cope with the pressure, and who so far stays in Russia
Specific corporations’ lines
- The report describes the moves of all leading energy companies from “politically Western” countries and their strategies in the current tense situation
Who used the most flexible adaptation line
- Oilfield services, consultancies, and auditors as the main tricksters
Reasons for and implications of “green” companies’ flight
- The green agenda, it would seem, should have remained unaffected by sanctions because the EU was extremely interested in Russia following the green course
- However, green companies fled Russia much sooner
- What does that mean for green projects in Russia?
Examples of confrontation between foreign contractors and Russian companies
Terms of withdrawal from Russian business
- Who buys Western property
- Why Chinese or Indian companies do not substitute for Western ones
Medium-term outlook
Contents of the report:
INTRODUCTION | 3 |
SUPPORTERS OF HARD SEVERANCE | 6 |
ExxonMobil Strategy | 6 |
Equinor’s Stance | 10 |
Other Group One Companies | 11 |
CORPORATIONS THAT GAVE IN TO PRESSURE | 13 |
Shell Strategy | 13 |
SO FAR ‘SURVIVING’ COMPANIES | 19 |
TotalEnergies Strategy | 19 |
BP Behaviour | 24 |
Strategies of Japanese and Korean Companies | 28 |
Wintershall Dea and OMV Line | 30 |
HYBRID STRATEGY COMPANIES | 35 |
Oilfield Service Companies | 35 |
Audit Firms and Consultancies | 36 |
EXAMPLES OF FOREIGN CONTRACTORS’ CONFRONTATION WITH RUSSIAN COMPANIES | 39 |
‘GREEN’ COMPANIES FLEEING RUSSIA | 42 |
MEDIUM-TERM OUTLOOK | 51 |
Date of release: | May 15, 2023 |