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Main regulators of oil and gas battles

Main regulators of oil and gas battles

Russia's political system has clearly become vibrant. Resignations and new appointments, personnel purging and scandals – these factors have become a new norm of current politics in Russia.

Administrative competition in the country is growing, and it has evident outcomes in the oil and gas sector. The number of conflicts is expanding, while the role of state regulators is becoming very significant. Moreover, interests of companies in the sector do not always coincide, which puts regulators into a complicated situation.

The National Energy Security Fund is focusing on key sectoral conflicts that relevant ministries and services are engaged in.

The report elaborates on the following issues:

The general configuration of control over the oil and gas sector
- Where are the main decision-making centers?
- The role of ministries
Restructuring of the domestic natural gas market, liberalization of exports
- Positions of companies have been known very well for a long time. However, Gazprom and independent gas producers have opposite opinions.
- Which side will relevant authorities take?
Regulation of production of hydrocarbons and distribution of reserves
- Liberalization of access to offshore deposits, policies in the sphere of licensing and subsoil use, and distribution of deposits – conflicts on these issues are becoming more frequent meaning it is interesting to analyze them.
Distribution of assets
- However, the key question is how privatization will be carried out. Interests of companies cannot coincide in this sphere, because the demand for assets exceeds the supply.
- Will regulators manage to stick to their roles of unbiased organizers of fair tenders?
Medium-term forecast of developments

Contents of the report:

INTRODUCTION	3
Chapter 1. SEARCHING FOR WAYS OF INFLUENCE. DECISION-MAKING SYSTEM IN FES	5
Chapter 2. REGULATION OF HYDROCARBONS PRODUCTION, LICENSING POLICY	19
Chapter 3. REGULATION OF DOMESTIC MARKET, EXPORTS OF HYDROCARBONS	34
Chapter 4. OPTIMIZATION OF ASSET MANAGEMENT AMID OIL AND GAS MARKET REDIVISION	54
FORECASTS	66

Date of release:	October 18, 2016

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:

Special report:

Nord Stream 2 and Ukraine: Costs Should Decide

There has been much discussion about how Russia – Europe’s biggest gas supplier – can continue to supply gas to Europe over the coming decades in the most secure and cost efficient way. Gazprom and its European partners have decided that building two additional pipelines through the Baltic Sea (Nord Stream 2) is the best commercial solution to secure future gas supplies for the EU, where gas production continues to decline and demand is expected to grow.

Shale Revolution: Myths and Realities

The boom in shale gas production in the US and its wide-ranging influence on markets rocked the gas world. Liquefied gas deliveries were redirected, altering the already fragile balance of demand and supply in traditional markets for pipeline gas in Europe.

Liquefied Natural Gas Outlook: Expectations and Reality

World market has shown interest to liquefied gas. Russia has so far been aside of it. However, producers have announced several large LNG projects. The new study will help investigate this delicate subject and understand what is in store for LNG production and export in the nearest years.

Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Outlook for Russian LNG Industry

European sanctions and Brussels’ policy of abandoning Russian energy resources plus the destroyed Baltic gas pipelines have shut in Russia a respectable volume of pipeline gas that cannot promptly be sent to alternative markets. This would seem a strong argument in favour of developing LNG production in Russia. The new NESF report must give the answer to the question about what part of the plans for dramatic increase in LNG production in Russia can be considered realistic.

Russian Energy and West One Year after Ukraine Conflict Began: Are There Connections Still?

Global politics are the framework for energy relations. However, energy projects are developed and deals are made immediately at the corporate level. It is companies that form the threads that tie nations in the energy business. It is therefore important to analyse relations between Russian and Western corporations. As long as companies from the “collective West” stay in Russia, there are still options for continuing co-operation. The latter still brings Russia fiscal revenue and markets.

Green Agenda in Russia during Bitter Conflict with West

After February 2022 the agenda was radically rewritten. Western companies began leaving Russia en masse, economic relations with the West were drastically reduced, and the Russian economy began to be pushed violently from the global economic space, hemmed in by sweeping sanctions. All that was, to put it mildly, not the best background for talking about ESG. Especially because tasks of survival and stability under unprecedented pressure became the priority in the economy. In late 2022, however, attempts to reanimate the ESG agenda already became obvious. The message is put across insistently that it is important to Russia regardless of the foreign policy situation. While earlier the “green pivot” was seen as an opportunity to attract Western investors and their technological solutions to Russia, now Keynesian reliance on domestic manufacture is discussed.

Oil and Gas Sector Regulation in 2022 and Prospects for 2023

The year 2022 was very tough for the Russian oil and gas industry. After February 24, the industry was subjected to the most severe sanctions. However, their influence was quite different. Nevertheless, the industry is entering the year 2023 with anxiety. The EU intends to continue to reduce purchases of Russian gas, which will inevitably affect Russian revenues. The launch of new LNG plants is in question due to technological sanctions. Another question is about the green agenda. Thus, it is a big question whether it is reasonable to keep insisting on accelerated energy transition in Russia.

Gazprom at the Forefront of Economic and Political Battles with Europe

Gazprom is being actively thrown out of the market. Its annual supplies to Europe have shrunk from the previous 150 billion to 65 billion cubic metres of gas. European officials assure that they have already learnt how to live without Russian gas, so they will bring its purchases down to but nominal values in 2023. Their main hope is liquefied natural gas. Today the EU must make a crucial decision: whether it has passed the point of no return in gas business with Russia and whether it is certain that its economy will endure without supplies of Russian pipeline gas. Or, on the contrary, Europe will realise after all that the gas balance will not be achieved and the payment for so headlong a rush for LNG will be disproportionate. Assessment of the potential volume of LNG that will appear on the market before the end of the current decade will be the most important factor for making the decision.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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