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Life under sanctions or is there light at the end of the import substitution tunnel

Life under sanctions or is there light at the end of the import substitution tunnel

The sector has been under sanctions imposed by the USA, Canada and the EU for almost two years. They restrict access to credit resources and technologies, create problems with marketing and change the psychology of operation of Western companies in Russia making the latter more cautious and careful.

Has Russia found a response to this challenge; has it benefited in some way, e.g. accelerated import substitution that Russian officials are so fond of taking about? Answers to these and other questions are found in this new report.

The report elaborates on the following topics:

  • The oil and gas sector in search of the money

    • Debt burden of majors amid lack of access to Western capital markets
    • How do companies find resources to pay off credits and investments
  • Nonresidents in the Russian oil and gas sector

    • The fate of projects of Western companies and arrival of Asian investors
    • Positions of Chinese and Indian companies in Russia, prospects of cooperation with them
  • In search of technologies. The influence of sanctions on offshore projects and development of tight reserves

    • The real situation around creation of necessary technological solutions in Russia
  • Sanctions, Russian market of oil services

    • Nonresidents are not leaving, but VIOCs want to get back assets they previously sold
    • The future model of development of services business in Russia
  • The influence of sanctions on assets redistribution in the sector

    • Sanctions as impetus to privatization and catalyst of new redivision of property in the sector
    • Struggle of clans for assets
  • Prospects of lifting of sanctions, scenarios of developments in the besieged fortress

 

Contents of the report:

INTRODUCTION 3
Chapter 1. FINANCIAL RESTRICTIONS IN RUSSIA’S OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY CAUSED BY SANCTIONS 5
Chapter 2. INFLUENCE OF SANCTIONS ON PRESENCE OF FOREIGN COMPANIES IN RUSSIA'S FES 20
Chapter 3. INFLUENCE OF SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA’S OIL SERVICES MARKET 39
Chapter 4. INFLUENCE OF SANCTIONS ON PROPERTY REDIVISION IN THE SECTOR 51
PROSPECTS OF DEVELOPMENTS 61
Date of release: May 25,2016

If you are interested to obtain please contact » Elena Kim

Other issues:
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Analytical series “The Fuel and Energy Complex of Russia”:

Sanctions against Russian Oil and Gas: Pressure Continued
Arctic: Soviet-type Gigantomania or Breakthrough Project?
State regulation of the oil and gas sector in 2018, prospects for 2019
Gazprom on Path to New Reality
Looking for Best Tax Treatment of Oil and Gas: Fiscal Experiments Continued
The subject of taxation became the absolute hit of 2018. The government once again decided to rewrite the rules of the game. President Putin’s new inauguration decree served as the main pretext. It turned out that about 8 trillion roubles extra was necessary for the new national projects announced. The Cabinet did not take long to decide where the funds should be taken. The result was acceleration of the so-called tax manoeuvre started as far back as 1 January 2015. It suggested shifting the tax burden to the wellhead: the effect on the state budget of gradual abandonment of the export duty will be more than compensated for by quicker growth in mineral resources extraction tax (MRET). The laws on tax reform have already gone through the parliament and will take effect as of next year. This means nothing good for companies.

All reports for: 2015 , 14 , 13 , 12 , 11 , 10 , 09 , 08 , 07

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